The Crow likes the look of the big number of races on Thursday. Best value venue may be GOSFORD.
The Early Crows Racing Top Tips – 1/12/2016
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Race |
Tip |
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KING’S TARIFF |
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ASPEN STAR |
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DORF STAR |
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Race |
Tip |
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LADY AMANDA |
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THE CARD PLAYERS |
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VILOPOTO |
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Race |
Tip |
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DOTHERIGHTHING |
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COVENTRY |
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PERCULES |
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Race |
Tip |
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FIVE STARS PARTNER |
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ALPINE DRAGON |
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SERIOUS STAR |
1.00pm (AEDT), Thursday, December 1 @ Denver
Likely Line-ups:
History: Miami have won 31 games to Denver’s 27, including both games last year.
Form: Denver are 10th in the West with a 7-10 record, winning three of their last five games; their last outing was a 120-114 win over Phoenix that ended a two-game losing run. Miami are 13th in the East with a 5-12 record, going down in four of their last five – including a 112-104 defeat to Boston in their most recent hit-out.
Stats: Miami have won six of their last eight against Denver, including three of their last four as the away team. The Nuggets have conceded 104+ points in 11 of their last 12 games; the Heat have held their opponents to 98 or less in eight of their last 14 matches. The Nuggets are 3-5 at home; the Heat are 3-5 on the road.
Final Thoughts: The Nuggets have turned things around impressively after winning only three of their first 10, claiming a few decent scalps over the past two weeks – despite being short on big-name players. The Heat have highlights-machine Hassan Whiteside but not a lot else, and it has begun to show in their win column. The Heat have one of the better defensive ratings in the NBA, but their offence is so poor they are unlikely to get on top of a Nuggets side that has no trouble scoring.
Crow’s Tip: Denver Nuggets -5.5 @ $1.92
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Match |
Crow’s Tip |
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Dallas Mavericks v San Antonio Spurs |
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Phoenix Suns v Atlanta Hawks |
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Portland Trail Blazers v Indiana Pacers |
The $1 million Kingston Town Classic over 1800m is the final G1 in WA for the year, and it’s attracted a cracking field.
But the WFA scale and the draw at this turning track, will shorten a few up. SCALES OF JUSTICE is going to have to work very hard, carrying a lot more weight, if he is to cross and lead like he did last time in the G1 Railway.
Conversely, KAWI will get a perfect spot early (from gate 4) and he meets them all better at the weights. Interesting affair coming up.
The Early Crow likes: KAWI, PERFECT REFLECTION, GOOD PROJECT
|
No |
Horse |
Rider |
Career |
Ba |
Weight |
||
|
1 |
Hugh Bowman |
$1,295,245 |
5 |
59 |
|||
|
2 |
Steve Parnham |
$1,228,060 |
13 |
59 |
|||
|
3 |
Damian Lane |
$1,032,145 |
1 |
59 |
|||
|
4 |
Michael Walker |
$914,260 |
4 |
59 |
|||
|
5 |
Glenn Smith |
$850,670 |
8 |
59 |
|||
|
6 |
Chris Parnham |
$711,250 |
14 |
59 |
|||
|
7 |
Ben Kennedy |
$546,610 |
6 |
59 |
|||
|
8 |
Brad Parnham |
$458,000 |
11 |
59 |
|||
|
9 |
Dwayne Dunn |
$400,175 |
9 |
59 |
|||
|
10 |
Douglas Whyte |
$945,960 |
16 |
58.5 |
|||
|
11 |
Ben Melham |
$731,970 |
7 |
58.5 |
|||
|
12 |
Damien Oliver |
$537,435 |
10 |
58.5 |
|||
|
13 |
Peter Hall |
$358,060 |
12 |
58.5 |
|||
|
14 |
Jarrad Noske |
$449,950 |
3 |
57 |
|||
|
15 |
Pat Carberry |
$459,950 |
15 |
57 |
|||
|
16 |
Willy Pike |
$1,139,950 |
2 |
56.5 |
|||
Some winners stand out
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LEG |
RACE |
RUNNERS |
KEEP IN MIND |
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1st |
5 |
3. Tycoon Beauty |
Even bunch but confident we have winner eher. |
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2nd |
6 |
This leg will add value. |
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3rd |
7 |
Horrible race. Add more if you wish. |
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|
4th |
8 |
Hard race to finish off the card but these do appeal. |
Tough meeting – but we'll beat it.
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LEG |
RACE |
RUNNERS |
KEEP IN MIND |
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1st |
4 |
You could easily throw in two more. Open race. |
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2nd |
5 |
Interesting race with a few fast ones racing. |
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3rd |
6 |
These are the best hopes in an interesting race. |
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4th |
7 |
Even bunch but these appeal the most. |
The main racing on Wednesday in Queensland will be another monster one held at the Sunshine Coast track. Jeff Lloyd should win the Jock’s Challenge as he has some nice mounts.
Rail Position: Is true all way
Track Condition: rates a good 4
Date: 30/11
Time: 1:40pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
SHELTER LADY is aiming for three on the bounce here following gutsy wins past couple. Weight claim helps and this looks ideal. HIDDEN ROSE is 2nd up here after a great 3rd when resuming last start. Looks very well in following the claim and OCEANTES is seemingly out of form but her runs have been against better rivals of late. Can improve.
The Early Crows Top Tip: SHELTER LADY
Date: 30/11
Time: 2:15pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
Small field but an interesting one. KNOWING FRANK will be short following his gutsy Eagle Farm maiden win earlier this month. He sat on pace and strode away. PLAN RED is resuming but is also coming back in grade. Watch market. DEEKS is now 3rd up and has top rider engaged. That makes him appealing.
The Early Crows Top Tip: KNOWING FRANK
Date: 30/11
Time: 2:50pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
Top little field. ADHERE is in superb touch and from an astute stable. Won 2 of past 3 and rates highly here. AIR FORCE ONE has pace and is better than past few suggest. Is 3rd up here and ready to fly home. GAME OF FAME won last campaign and she ran 3rd when resuming last start….hmmm, big show.
The Early Crows Top Tip: AIR FORCE ONE
Date: 30/11
Time: 3:25pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
MARKOVER has been a costly failure to date losing all 14 starts. Place at best here. THE AMATEUR has recently come into Toby Edmunds stable from NSW and form down there was better than these. ORDER AGAIN looks to have talent and last start 2nd this grade confirmed that. Fitter now and drawn to get the one, one.
The Early Crows Top Tip: THE AMATEUR
Date: 30/11
Time: 4:05pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
OF THE DAY is well bred and placed twice in tougher maidens only 2 runs. Coming back in trip here after hitting line strongly last start may be a worry. LINLITHGOW is on debut here but is working rather well. Watch market. DON’T DOUBT DA WIFE is resuming here and is expected to be handy all way.
The Early Crows Top Tip: OF THE DAY
Date: 30/11
Time: 4:40pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
MISHANI BULLET not beaten far when slashing 3rd hitting line strongly in open Saturday grade Doomben 2YO. Looks the winner. SCALLOPINI is beautifully bred, but unraced and in strong stable. Place. SISTA ACT ran 5th on debut in town and was handy all way. This is easier.
The Early Crows Top Tip: MISHANI BULLET
Date: 30/11
Time: 5:20pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
GOLFING has been up a fair while but is relishing racing at present. Big weight here but placed past 2 this grade. TIN’S PIOCKET won easier race then up to this level and great 2nd. Has the rails draw here. Big show. KATCH NICCONI is resuming here and is speedy. Also boasts a good first up record. This is to her liking after easy trial win recently.
The Early Crows Top Tip: KATCH NICCONI
Date: 30/11
Time: 6:00pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
BEAU JET hasn’t won for a long time but down in grade and is the best horse on past performances in this field. Great draw to bounce back too. OBERLAND is an emerging talent. Resuming here but great jock and perfect barrier are big helps. I AM THE SCULPTOR came up shorter in the markets than expected this morning. There must be money around for him. Chance here.
The Early Crows Top Tip: OBERLAND
Date: 30/11
Time: 6:40pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
JILL’S CHARM is sooo honest. Placed 5 of past 6 and all have been this company. Bound to be in the frame again. DRUM MASTER must be included among hopes now that he’s 3rd up. Nicely drawn too. NIGHT ATTIRE is resuming here but did run 3rd when resuming last time. Place again.
The Early Crows Top Tip: JILL’S CHARM
Date: 30/11
Time: 7:20pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
Very even bunch. BOLD AVENUE, PRINCESS CHARM and WICKED TRILOGY are all very honest and will be right in the frame here. Which one to go for….follow market moves. But they are the best chances here.
The Early Crows Top Tip: WICKED TRILOGY
Date: 30/11
Time: 7:50pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
INGEEGOODBE hasn’t been well served at the gates but gee there was a lot to like about both runs this time in. Chance here. LIGHTNING BELL has been out of winner’s circle for some time but doesn’t mind running a place this company. Has conditions to suit here while TONY BALONEY has had 3 runs this campaign all in this grade and all for placings. Consistency must be rewarded eventually.
The Early Crows Top Tip: TONY BALONEY
Date: 30/11
Time: 8:20pm
Location: Sunshine Coast
SHEEZALADY has run up to her very best with good placings this grade since resuming. Weight relief here makes her very hard to beat. FOX FORCE FIVE is in strong stable and drawn perfectly to snare the gun run. PLUCKY GIRL has only raced twice for a win and a placing….and that’s form enough to trouble these. Chance here.
The Early Crows Top Tip: SHEEZALADY
The main racing on Wednesday in NSW will be held at the Canterbury Park track.By afternoon, perfect sunshine will greet horse and man (and woman) on Wednesday at Canterbury. Temps of 25 are expected.
Rail Position: Is true the entire circuit
Track Condition: rates a good 4
Date: 30/11
Time: 1:45pm
Location: Canterbury Park
Good, strong, even maiden this. SILENT WARRIOR has been heavily tried and beaten into placings past 5 starts. Deserves a break through. YEAH BRAVO got home gamely in strong maiden last start and looks the pick of the Waller runners, while FLEETING STRYKE is talented and comes into this very well at the weights. Can show up here.
The Early Crows Top Tip: FLEETING STRYKE
Date: 30/11
Time: 2:20pm
Location: Canterbury Park
FRANCE showed nothing on debut back in June. But since then, has spelled and come back looking a different horse easily winning recent trial. ARMET is drawn well and does have enough talent to be making good ground late in this. THAAD is on debut here but trials suggest a forward showing would not surprise.
The Early Crows Top Tip: FRANCE
Date: 30/11
Time: 2:55pm
Location: Canterbury Park
IMPROVING is rising in grade here but her first start 2nd at the provincials was actually a really good run. Can show up. LOVELETTER won a trial at Gosford recently looking very smart. Watch market while PEACEFUL SEA may get back but her two trials this time up have been excellent, particularly the last one. She will be steaming home.
The Early Crows Top Tip: PEACEFUL SEA
Date: 30/11
Time: 3:35pm
Location: Canterbury Park
DEPENDABLE has been just that past few months placing past 6 runs. A little tougher here but is a trier. BELLA GALEANO is up in trip and down in grade – both things to her liking. Rates highly. DIAMBRA ran a much improved race this grade last start when 2nd. Can go on with it.
The Early Crows Top Tip: BELLA GALEANO
Date: 30/11
Time: 4:10pm
Location: Canterbury Park
I’M USAIN has honed his skills on bush tracks and comes here with placings past two. Is fast and tough and 3kg claim is big help. SUGAR BAY LEONARD is an emerging talent and he ran on very gamely similar race last start for 2nd. May have been a tad unlucky that day. WORLDLY IMPACT is honest and always is around the money this grade.
The Early Crows Top Tip: SUGAR BAY LEONARD
Date: 30/11
Time: 4:45pm
Location: Canterbury Park
QUEEN MISTY has the right draw, the in form hoop and ran a cracking 2nd last start similar company. Third up here….big show. ONCE MORE A LADY bolted in last start looking Saturday city grade. This is truer test as it’s harder but looks up to challenge. SANAYA just seems to be an honest toiler who gets back and runs into a hole.
The Early Crows Top Tip: ONCE MORE A LADY
Date: 30/11
Time: 5:25pm
Location: Canterbury Park
In this race, we see the return to Australia of English rider James Doyle as he takes over as head jock for Godolphin. And how fitting if he wins this on MIAMI DADE. Good effort for 5th last start and drawn to cop a good run. ROCK OF MAHAL rattled home last start this company suggesting everything about this race suits. KINGSGUARD ran well when resuming for 4th last start. Good draw and fitter now.
The Early Crows Top Tip: MIAMI DADE
Wednesday racing in Victoria this week is at the Bendigo racetrack. The weather is expected to be fine.
Rail Position: Is out 6m all way
Track Condition: rates a good 4
Date: 30/11
Time: 1:30pm
Location: Bendigo
ARNO BAY has been crying out for such a race. Trip and class appeal and when you throw in terrific gate – looks a special. FLUX CAPACITOR ran an improved race last start suggesting this is going to suit a great deal also. Respect. BETTY’S THRILLS will garner tremendous benefit for solid 5th on debut and may find this easier.
The Early Crows Top Tip: ARNO BAY
Date: 30/11
Time: 2:00pm
Location: Bendigo
ANTAGONIST boasts the best recent form but gee he’s not won a race in like 100 starts. Perhaps this is his day. BOSS CONI looked a good thing until it drew gate 12. He did drop out and rattle home last start so may well have to do that again here. Big show. YULONG SHENG LONG is in powerful stable and although resuming, bares watching.
The Early Crows Top Tip: BOSS CONI
Date: 30/11
Time: 2:30pm
Location: Bendigo
JACK IN THE DITCH is another one who has tried and tried to win a race with no joy yet but gets chance here. Plugged on for 3rd this grade last start and ideal conditions this time suit. OUR BILLY BOY was placed this grade 3 runs back then just got a little too far back mid race past 2. Sure to be fitter and more experienced. VERREAUX has placed 6 of past 9. That sounds like a non-winner but at least has talent and can plug on too well for these.
The Early Crows Top Tip: VERREAUX
Date: 30/11
Time: 3:00pm
Location: Bendigo
KING OF ENGLAND has been toiling away getting fitter against better company of late. Massive drop in grade here for him and he looks a stand out bet. DREADED doesn’t win out of turn but last start once again said to be wary this time. RACING WRITER won easier race 2 starts back and then failed in tougher race last start. Each way hope.
The Early Crows Top Tip: KING OF ENGLAND
Date: 30/11
Time: 3:30pm
Location: Bendigo
VEGAS BEAUTY is 3rd up from a spell here. Has a great 3kg weight relief and is drawn in the 1. Looks very well placed. TYCOON BEAUTY has been up for a while but is holding form well. Weight claim here is a big help. BONNIE'S MARLEY has only had 3 runs but has obvious talent. Led until final stages last start this grade. Fitter now. Hard to catch.
The Early Crows Top Tip: BONNIE'S MELODY
Date: 30/11
Time: 4:00pm
Location: Bendigo
HARBOUR GREY ticks a lot of boxes here. Is racing in superb form, has a 2kg claim, and is drawn to get the best run in the race. Hard to beat. HE'S A MORAL has nearly lived up to his name winning once and placing three times past four starts. Chance again. SWORD OF JUSTICE was on pace all way after firming from $4.60 into $3.40 and got the prize last start. Is in top form.
The Early Crows Top Tip: HARBOUR GREY
Date: 30/11
Time: 4:30pm
Location: Bendigo
FLEX is resuming here but is expected to go very well fresh. Watch market. SONG ONE made good ground late this exact grade last start when close 2nd. Fitter now. Hard to beat. SENSATIONAL ALLY is resuming here but was a model of consistency when last in work.
The Early Crows Top Tip: SONG ONE
Date: 30/11
Time: 5.00pm
Location: Bendigo
DUBAI KING is in peak form with a gutsy win last start. Has a 3kg claim here to help hopes. MAHARAAJ ran a pleasing 5th when resuming this grade last start. Sure to be fitter. SILVER STRATUM looks the one here following an easy victory in the mud last start. Raced away to win with authority so is in form and looks tough.
The Early Crows Top Tip: SILVER STRATUM
