Thursday Racing Tip Sheet

The Crow likes the look of the big number of races on Thursday. Best value venue may be GOSFORD.

The Early Crows Racing Top Tips – 1/12/2016

 

GOSFORD

Race 

Tip

GOSFORD Race 2

KING’S TARIFF

GOSFORD Race 4

ASPEN STAR

GOSFORD Race 7

DORF STAR

 

WARRNAMBOOL

Race 

Tip

WARRNAMBOOL Race 2

LADY AMANDA

WARRNAMBOOL Race 5

THE CARD PLAYERS

WARRNAMBOOL Race 7

VILOPOTO

 

MACKAY

Race 

Tip

MACKAY Race 2

DOTHERIGHTHING

MACKAY Race 5

COVENTRY

MACKAY Race 7

PERCULES

 

PORT MACQUARIE

Race 

Tip

PORT MAC Race 2

FIVE STARS PARTNER

PORT MAC Race 5

ALPINE DRAGON

PORT MAC Race 7

SERIOUS STAR

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Thursday NBA Tips

Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat

1.00pm (AEDT), Thursday, December 1 @ Denver

Likely Line-ups:

  • NUGGETS
    Wilson Chandler, Kenneth Faried, Jusuf Nurkic, Jameer Nelson, Emmanuel Mudiay
  • HEAT
    Luke Babbitt, Derrick Williams, Hassan Whiteside, Rodney McGruder, Goran Dragic

History: Miami have won 31 games to Denver’s 27, including both games last year.

Form: Denver are 10th in the West with a 7-10 record, winning three of their last five games; their last outing was a 120-114 win over Phoenix that ended a two-game losing run. Miami are 13th in the East with a 5-12 record, going down in four of their last five – including a 112-104 defeat to Boston in their most recent hit-out.

Stats: Miami have won six of their last eight against Denver, including three of their last four as the away team. The Nuggets have conceded 104+ points in 11 of their last 12 games; the Heat have held their opponents to 98 or less in eight of their last 14 matches. The Nuggets are 3-5 at home; the Heat are 3-5 on the road.

Final Thoughts: The Nuggets have turned things around impressively after winning only three of their first 10, claiming a few decent scalps over the past two weeks – despite being short on big-name players. The Heat have highlights-machine Hassan Whiteside but not a lot else, and it has begun to show in their win column. The Heat have one of the better defensive ratings in the NBA, but their offence is so poor they are unlikely to get on top of a Nuggets side that has no trouble scoring.                                    

Crow’s Tip: Denver Nuggets -5.5 @ $1.92

 

TOP 3 TIPS

Match

Crow’s Tip

Dallas Mavericks v San Antonio Spurs

Over 192 @ $1.90

Phoenix Suns v Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks 1-10

Portland Trail Blazers v Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers +7.5 @ $1.94

Barrier Draw – Kingston Classic

Victorian Stratum Star Draws Best – Scales of Justice Brutalised by Draw

The $1 million Kingston Town Classic over 1800m is the final G1 in WA for the year, and it’s attracted a cracking field.

But the WFA scale and the draw at this turning track, will shorten a few up. SCALES OF JUSTICE is going to have to work very hard, carrying a lot more weight, if he is to cross and lead like he did last time in the G1 Railway.

Conversely, KAWI will get a perfect spot early (from gate 4) and he meets them all better at the weights. Interesting affair coming up.

The Early Crow likes: KAWIPERFECT REFLECTION, GOOD PROJECT

No

Horse

Rider

Career

Ba

Weight

1

GOOD PROJECT

Hugh Bowman

$1,295,245 

5

59

2

IHTSAHYMN

Steve Parnham

$1,228,060 

13

59

3

STRATUM STAR

Damian Lane

$1,032,145 

1

59

4

KAWI

Michael Walker

$914,260 

4

59

5

DISPOSITION

Glenn Smith

$850,670

8

59

6

HE OR SHE

Chris Parnham

$711,250 

14

59

7

DUBAI ESCAPADE

Ben Kennedy

$546,610 

6

59

8

BASS STRAIT

Brad Parnham

$458,000

11

59

9

TRADESMAN

Dwayne Dunn

$400,175 

9

59

10

SCALES OF JUSTICE

Douglas Whyte

$945,960 

16

58.5

11

VANBRUGH

Ben Melham

$731,970

7

58.5

12

MACKINTOSH

Damien Oliver

$537,435 

10

58.5

13

HEART STARTER

Peter Hall

$358,060  

12

58.5

14

NEVERLAND

Jarrad Noske

$449,950   

3

57

15

TICK TICK BLOOM

Pat Carberry

$459,950 

15

57

16

PERFECT REFLECTION

Willy Pike

$1,139,950

2

56.5

Quaddie Racing Tips

Bendigo

Some winners stand out

LEG

RACE

RUNNERS

KEEP IN MIND

1st

5

3. Tycoon Beauty
4. Bonnie’s Marley
6. Sweet Clementine
8. Scuzi

Even bunch but confident we have winner eher.

2nd

6

3. Harbour Grey
5. He’s A Moral
12. La Speciale

This leg will add value.

3rd

7

2. Flex
3. Song One
6. Sensational Ally
10. Monajet

Horrible race. Add more if you wish.

4th

8

1. Dubai King
3. Topography
4. Maharaaj
6. Silver Stratum

Hard race to finish off the card but these do appeal.

Canterbury

Tough meeting – but we'll beat it.

LEG

RACE

RUNNERS

KEEP IN MIND

1st

4

2. Rye
4. Dependable
6. Bella Galeano
8. Diambra

You could easily throw in two more. Open race.

2nd

5

3. I’m Usain
4. Sugar Bay Leonard
5. Wordly Impact

Interesting race with a few fast ones racing.

3rd

6

2. Queen Misty
3. Kinschachi
7. Once More A Lady
8. Sanaya

These are the best hopes in an interesting race.  

4th

7

1. Miami Dade
2. Rock Of Mahal
7. Via Napoli
11. Kingsguard

Even bunch but these appeal the most.

 

 

Wednesday Racing Preview – Sunshine Coast

The main racing on Wednesday in Queensland will be another monster one held at the Sunshine Coast track. Jeff Lloyd should win the Jock’s Challenge as he has some nice mounts.

Rail Position: Is true all way
Track Condition: rates a good 4

 

Race 1- F & M Class 4 1200m

Date: 30/11
Time: 1:40pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

SHELTER LADY is aiming for three on the bounce here following gutsy wins past couple. Weight claim helps and this looks ideal. HIDDEN ROSE is 2nd up here after a great 3rd when resuming last start. Looks very well in following the claim and OCEANTES is seemingly out of form but her runs have been against better rivals of late. Can improve.

The Early Crows Top TipSHELTER LADY

 

Race 2- C & G Class 1 Hcp 1200m

Date: 30/11
Time: 2:15pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

Small field but an interesting one. KNOWING FRANK will be short following his gutsy Eagle Farm maiden win earlier this month. He sat on pace and strode away. PLAN RED is resuming but is also coming back in grade. Watch market. DEEKS is now 3rd up and has top rider engaged. That makes him appealing.

The Early Crows Top TipKNOWING FRANK

 

Race 3- XXXX Class 2 1400m

Date: 30/11
Time: 2:50pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

Top little field. ADHERE is in superb touch and from an astute stable. Won 2 of past 3 and rates highly here. AIR FORCE ONE has pace and is better than past few suggest. Is 3rd up here and ready to fly home. GAME OF FAME won last campaign and she ran 3rd when resuming last start….hmmm, big show.

The Early Crows Top TipAIR FORCE ONE

 

Race 4- Cherrypicker Mdn Plate 1400m

Date: 30/11
Time: 3:25pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

MARKOVER has been a costly failure to date losing all 14 starts. Place at best here. THE AMATEUR has recently come into Toby Edmunds stable from NSW and form down there was better than these.  ORDER AGAIN looks to have talent and last start 2nd this grade confirmed that. Fitter now and drawn to get the one, one.

The Early Crows Top TipTHE AMATEUR

 

Race 5- CMBM Facility Mdn 1000m

Date: 30/11
Time: 4:05pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

OF THE DAY is well bred and placed twice in tougher maidens only 2 runs. Coming back in trip here after hitting line strongly last start may be a worry. LINLITHGOW is on debut here but is working rather well. Watch market. DON’T DOUBT DA WIFE is resuming here and is expected to be handy all way.

The Early Crows Top TipOF THE DAY

 

Race 6- STO Law 2YO Mdn 1000m

Date: 30/11
Time: 4:40pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

MISHANI BULLET not beaten far when slashing 3rd hitting line strongly in open Saturday grade Doomben 2YO. Looks the winner. SCALLOPINI is beautifully bred, but unraced and in strong stable. Place. SISTA ACT ran 5th on debut in town and was handy all way. This is easier.

The Early Crows Top TipMISHANI BULLET

 

Race 7-  BM 58  Hcp 1000

Date: 30/11
Time: 5:20pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

GOLFING has been up a fair while but is relishing racing at present. Big weight here but placed past 2 this grade. TIN’S PIOCKET won easier race then up to this level and great 2nd. Has the rails draw here. Big show. KATCH NICCONI is resuming here and is speedy. Also boasts a good first up record.  This is to her liking after easy trial win recently.

The Early Crows Top TipKATCH NICCONI

 

Race 8- Males Class 4 1200m

Date: 30/11
Time: 6:00pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

BEAU JET hasn’t won for a long time but down in grade and is the best horse on past performances in this field. Great draw to bounce back too. OBERLAND is an emerging talent. Resuming here but great jock and perfect barrier are big helps. I AM THE SCULPTOR came up shorter in the markets than expected this morning. There must be money around for him.  Chance here.

The Early Crows Top TipOBERLAND

 

Race 9- Pelican Motors BM 58 1300m

Date: 30/11
Time: 6:40pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

JILL’S CHARM is sooo honest. Placed 5 of past 6 and all have been this company. Bound to be in the frame again. DRUM MASTER must be included among hopes now that he’s 3rd up. Nicely drawn too. NIGHT ATTIRE is resuming here but did run 3rd when resuming last time. Place again.

The Early Crows Top TipJILL’S CHARM

 

Race 10- Centrepoint Apartments Rating 70 1600m

Date: 30/11
Time: 7:20pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

Very even bunch. BOLD AVENUE, PRINCESS CHARM and WICKED TRILOGY are all very honest and will be right in the frame here. Which one to go for….follow market moves. But they are the best chances here.

The Early Crows Top TipWICKED TRILOGY

 

Race 11- Searight repairs Class 1 1600m

Date: 30/11
Time: 7:50pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

INGEEGOODBE hasn’t been well served at the gates but gee there was a lot to like about both runs this time in.  Chance here. LIGHTNING BELL has been out of winner’s circle for some time but doesn’t mind running a place this company. Has conditions to suit here while TONY BALONEY has had 3 runs this campaign all in this grade and all for placings. Consistency must be rewarded eventually.

The Early Crows Top TipTONY BALONEY

 

Race 12- Chaps Females Class 1 Hcp 1200m

Date: 30/11
Time: 8:20pm
Location: Sunshine Coast

SHEEZALADY has run up to her very best with good placings this grade since resuming. Weight relief here makes her very hard to beat. FOX FORCE FIVE is in strong stable and drawn perfectly to snare the gun run. PLUCKY GIRL has only raced twice for a win and a placing….and that’s form enough to trouble these. Chance here.

The Early Crows Top TipSHEEZALADY

Wednesday Racing Preview – Canterbury

The main racing on Wednesday in NSW will be held at the Canterbury Park track.By afternoon, perfect sunshine will greet horse and man (and woman) on Wednesday at Canterbury. Temps of 25 are expected.

Rail Position: Is true the entire circuit
Track Condition: rates a good 4

 

Race 1- 3YO Mdn 1550m

Date: 30/11
Time: 1:45pm
Location: Canterbury Park

Good, strong, even maiden this. SILENT WARRIOR has been heavily tried and beaten into placings past 5 starts. Deserves a break through. YEAH BRAVO got home gamely in strong maiden last start and looks the pick of the Waller runners, while FLEETING STRYKE is talented and comes into this very well at the weights. Can show up here.

The Early Crows Top TipFLEETING STRYKE

 

Race 2 – Mdn 3YO Hcp 1550

Date: 30/11
Time: 2:20pm
Location: Canterbury Park

FRANCE showed nothing on debut back in June. But since then, has spelled and come back looking a different horse easily winning recent trial. ARMET is drawn well and does have enough talent to be making good ground late in this. THAAD is on debut here but trials suggest a forward showing would not surprise.

The Early Crows Top TipFRANCE

 

Race 3- 3YO Fillies Mdn 1200m

Date: 30/11
Time: 2:55pm
Location: Canterbury Park

IMPROVING is rising in grade here but her first start 2nd at the provincials was actually a really good run. Can show up. LOVELETTER won a trial at Gosford recently looking very smart. Watch market while PEACEFUL SEA may get back but her two trials this time up have been excellent, particularly the last one. She will be steaming home.

The Early Crows Top TipPEACEFUL SEA

 

Race 4- BM 66 1900m

Date: 30/11
Time: 3:35pm
Location: Canterbury Park

DEPENDABLE has been just that past few months placing past 6 runs. A little tougher here but is a trier. BELLA GALEANO is up in trip and down in grade – both things to her liking. Rates highly. DIAMBRA ran a much improved race this grade last start when 2nd. Can go on with it.

The Early Crows Top TipBELLA GALEANO

 

Race 5- Ranvet’s Neutrolene BM 72 Hcp 1100m

Date: 30/11
Time: 4:10pm
Location: Canterbury Park

I’M USAIN has honed his skills on bush tracks and comes here with placings past two. Is fast and tough and 3kg claim is big help. SUGAR BAY LEONARD is an emerging talent and he ran on very gamely similar race last start for 2nd. May have been a tad unlucky that day. WORLDLY IMPACT is honest and always is around the money this grade.

The Early Crows Top TipSUGAR BAY LEONARD

 

Race 6- Females BM 71  1250m

Date: 30/11
Time: 4:45pm
Location: Canterbury Park

QUEEN MISTY has the right draw, the in form hoop and ran a cracking 2nd last start similar company. Third up here….big show. ONCE MORE A LADY bolted in last start looking Saturday city grade. This is truer test as it’s harder but looks up to challenge. SANAYA just seems to be an honest toiler who gets back and runs into a hole.

The Early Crows Top TipONCE MORE A LADY  

 

Race 7- BM 66 Hcp 1550m

Date: 30/11
Time: 5:25pm
Location: Canterbury Park

In this race, we see the return to Australia of English rider James Doyle as he takes over as head jock for Godolphin. And how fitting if he wins this on MIAMI DADE. Good effort for 5th last start and drawn to cop a good run. ROCK OF MAHAL rattled home last start this company suggesting everything about this race suits. KINGSGUARD ran well when resuming for 4th last start. Good draw and fitter now.

The Early Crows Top TipMIAMI DADE

Wednesday Racing Preview – Bendigo

Wednesday racing in Victoria this week is at the Bendigo racetrack. The weather is expected to be fine.

Rail Position: Is out 6m all way
Track Condition: rates a good 4

 

Race: 1- 3YO Mdn Plate 1600m

Date: 30/11
Time: 1:30pm
Location: Bendigo

ARNO BAY has been crying out for such a race. Trip and class appeal and when you throw in terrific gate – looks a special. FLUX CAPACITOR ran an improved race last start suggesting this is going to suit a great deal also. Respect. BETTY’S THRILLS will garner tremendous benefit for solid 5th on debut and may find this easier.

The Early Crows Top TipARNO BAY

 

Race: 2- Open Mdn 1300m

Date: 30/11
Time: 2:00pm
Location: Bendigo

ANTAGONIST boasts the best recent form but gee he’s not won a race in like 100 starts. Perhaps this is his day. BOSS CONI looked a good thing until it drew gate 12. He did drop out and rattle home last start so may well have to do that again here. Big show. YULONG SHENG LONG is in powerful stable and although resuming, bares watching.

The Early Crows Top TipBOSS CONI

 

Race: 3- Open Mdn 2400m

Date: 30/11
Time: 2:30pm
Location: Bendigo

JACK IN THE DITCH is another one who has tried and tried to win a race with no joy yet but gets chance here. Plugged on for 3rd this grade last start and ideal conditions this time suit. OUR BILLY BOY was placed this grade 3 runs back then just got a little too far back mid race past 2.  Sure to be fitter and more experienced. VERREAUX has placed 6 of past 9. That sounds like a non-winner but at least has talent and can plug on too well for these.

The Early Crows Top TipVERREAUX

 

Race: 4- No Fuss Hire BM 70 2400m

Date: 30/11
Time: 3:00pm
Location: Bendigo

KING OF ENGLAND has been toiling away getting fitter against better company of late. Massive drop in grade here for him and he looks a stand out bet. DREADED doesn’t win out of turn but last start once again said to be wary this time. RACING WRITER won easier race 2 starts back and then failed in tougher race last start. Each way hope. 

The Early Crows Top TipKING OF ENGLAND

 

Race: 5- F&M BM 1100m

Date: 30/11
Time: 3:30pm
Location: Bendigo

VEGAS BEAUTY is 3rd up from a spell here. Has a great 3kg weight relief and is drawn in the 1. Looks very well placed. TYCOON BEAUTY has been up for a while but is holding form well. Weight claim here is a big help. BONNIE'S MARLEY has only had 3 runs but has obvious talent. Led until final stages last start this grade. Fitter now. Hard to catch.

The Early Crows Top TipBONNIE'S MELODY

 

Race: 6- The Wellington BM 70 1300m

Date: 30/11
Time: 4:00pm
Location: Bendigo

HARBOUR GREY ticks a lot of boxes here. Is racing in superb form, has a 2kg claim, and is drawn to get the best run in the race. Hard to beat. HE'S A MORAL has nearly lived up to his name winning once and placing three times past four starts. Chance again. SWORD OF JUSTICE was on pace all way after firming from $4.60 into $3.40 and got the prize last start. Is in top form.

The Early Crows Top TipHARBOUR GREY

 

Race: 7 – McGraig BM 64 1400m

Date: 30/11
Time: 4:30pm
Location: Bendigo

FLEX is resuming here but is expected to go very well fresh. Watch market. SONG ONE made good ground late this exact grade last start when close 2nd. Fitter now.  Hard to beat. SENSATIONAL ALLY is resuming here but was a model of consistency when last in work.

The Early Crows Top TipSONG ONE

 

Race: 8- Silks BM 70 1600m

Date: 30/11
Time: 5.00pm
Location: Bendigo

DUBAI KING is in peak form with a gutsy win last start. Has a 3kg claim here to help hopes. MAHARAAJ ran a pleasing 5th when resuming this grade last start. Sure to be fitter. SILVER STRATUM looks the one here following an easy victory in the mud last start. Raced away to win with authority so is in form and looks tough.

The Early Crows Top TipSILVER STRATUM