Wednesday Racing Preview – Doomben

The main racing on Wednesday in Queensland will be at Doomben. Plenty of winners this time around and races will be conducted upon a track that has been bathed in sunshine of late.

Rail Position:  is out 3m the entire track
Track Condition: rates a Good 4

 

Race 1- Open Mdn 1050m

Date: 1/2
Time: 12:40pm
Location: Doomben

ALSEEYA should win, but boy he’s taking his time. Is now six year old and has placed this grade 9 times without a win. All the mapping said he would just bolt in. Gets chance to atone here as field is easier. LUCKY LIPS has just one run to date, but top jock, top trainer top gate suggest she can show up. This could be a bit short for SHE’S ON POINT but she will be getting to the line hard final stages.

The Early Crows Top TipALSEEYA

 

Race 2 – Paul Dogsy Dolan Mdn Plate 1615m

Date: 1/2
Time: 1:15pm
Location: Doomben

LUJAC has placed past 4 this grade and one suspects he will go very close again.  Watch market. MARK MY WORD can read exactly the same. Place hope, while MONTANA PINES charged home late but beaten by a very smart one here last start. If he gets clear in straight,  will take holding out.

The Early Crows Top TipMONTANA PINES

 

Race 3- Neil Lofty Stevenson 0-70 Hcp 1615m

Date: 1/2
Time: 1:50pm
Location: Doomben

NEARCTIC CHILLER led and held on bravely 2 starts back, beaten 2 lens into 3rd this grade. Similar effort last start. Big show.  SCOUTABOUT has been hitting line well past 2. Worth a chance here now fitter. FRENCH SONG did score slightly easier grade 2 starts back and does seem to be running well enough.

The Early Crows Top TipNEARCTIC CHILLER  

 

Race 4- QTIS 3YO Mdn 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 2:25pm
Location: Doomben

SON OF A BRUT might be pretty handy. Showed talent last campaign and is ready to run big race here. SORNJA has been placed twice from 2 goes this company and more significantly, has had 2 cracking runs coming from well back. Big show. Unraced SKY TEAM won barrier trial effortlessly recently. Watch market.

The Early Crows Top TipSON OF A BRUT

 

Race 5- Graham Turner QTIS 3YO Mdn 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:05pm
Location: Doomben

PUBLISHING POWER was resuming last start and ran a corker to grab 2nd this grade. Looks hard to beat. ONE GOLDEN DAY is longing for just that – and is close. Showed up this company last start when 4th and drawn perfectly here. HUSSON BOOTS is down in grade and can be considered a good chance to be in the finish.

The Early Crows Top TipHUSSON BOOTS

 

Race 6- John Bunny Brasch Females Class 3 Hcp 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:40pm
Location: Doomben

STAR OF THE NIGHT is the class in the race but is coming off a bad run last start. Form prior would win this, and she has a 3kg claim here too. Watch for her late. CLANG’S VICTORY is as honest as a Queensland day is hot – and on that basis must be considered. Should get a good run throughout. SAYS ME ran boldly last start when 2nd this grade. Fitter now and can be in the finish.

The Early Crows Top TipSTAR OF THE NIGHT

 

Race 7- Steve Hewlett Class 3 1350m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:40pm
Location: Doomben

Very strong Class 2 field this. RECALCITRATA is a money-spinner but a frustrating one. Has enough fitness now 3rd up to be in the frame here. WINDY SANDS  is extremely honest this grade placing past 7 starts. Bound to be in the finish. CAFÉ TERRACE is from strong stable and looked good in weaker race last start when 3rd. Top rider here. Big show.

The Early Crows Top TipWINDY SANDS

 

Race 8- 2y Yrs Of Radio BM 75 1350m

Date: 1/2
Time: 4:50pm
Location: Doomben

SPICE OF LIFE was at the limit of his powers when last in work. Resuming here but is ready. That helps, plus the 3kg claim and the great barrier draw. UMGENI is honest this company and honest horses are always worth backing. MAGAZINE MISS is in well at the weights and despite rise in grade, can finish off well enough to place.

The Early Crows Top TipUMGENI

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Jungle Book: Week 1

Reality TV is back baby and boy are we excited! I’m talking a truckload of snakes chasing an Iguana excited, but with twelve singlet wearing celebs, chowing down like Kobayashi on the grossest gizzards that the African jungle floor can provide! The Celebrity Royal Rumble is here and there’s already more action and speculation than a Friday night at Moonee Valley.

This season’s I’m A Celebrity Get Me Out of Here has launched on Channel Ten with a wonderfully weird bunch of celebrities from all fathoms of life looking to snap up their tickets for this year’s Lavazza marquee at Derby Day, er, I mean, to take the title for their chosen charity.

 

Tom Arnold @ $15.00

We’ve got the big recruit, the Kevin Durant if you will, of this year’s celeb team – Tom Arnold, looking a shadow of his former self and if anyone is capable of winning an eating challenge and taking the title, it’s the big guy!

 

Natalie Bassingthwaighte @ $7.00

The gorgeous Nat Bass brings that lead singer sass and Ramsay St nous to the camp as well as a kick ass attitude to team wins. Can she tear through her competitors the way she tore through Dr. Karl Kennedy’s heart?

 

Teagan Martin @ $17.00

Being a former Miss Universe Australia looks to serve Teagan Martin well, with a surprisingly down to earth view, easy-going personality. Let’s hope we see some of that pageantry back-stabbing & bitchiness to take her deep into the competition.

 

Ash Pollard @ $19.00

Reality TV professional, Ash Pollard knows what it takes to go deep into a reality TV comp. Being able to turn three quarters of a Warthog bum cheek into a delicious slow-cooked Ragu could see her become a camp favourite as well.

 

Casey Donovan @ $7.50

Australian Idol winner, seriously hilarious and beautifully foul-mouthed Casey Donovan is a brilliant addition to this year’s competitors. Put Casey down as a huge chance for the Top 5, everyone loves a comeback story!

 

Steve Price @ $12.00

Radio hard-ass Steve Price brings the grump and the analytic strategy of a jungle killer to the competition and is already crushing any challenge put in front of him. Add a no filter approach to his political views and we’ve got a major player worth watching.

 

Nazeem Hussain @ $17.00

One of Australia’s funniest men, often mistaken for Waleed Aly in newspapers and magazines, will bring the humour to keep the camp amused and looks determined to make his mark.

 

Dane Swan @ $2.50

Never thought I’d see Swanny more than fifty metres from Chapel Street let alone in this show, but I’m sure Australia will love him and his sleeper cell humour and is understandably short odds. Will take some running down in the home straight.

 

Jay Laga’aia @ $4.00

Jay Laga’aia jumps through the round window, around the rocket clock and out of a helicopter and straight into Top Five calculations with an interesting mix of jokes, Ukulele skill and being mates with Hamble. He’s a big chance.

 

Lisa Curry @ $15.00

Unfortunately, I don’t see the same chance for Olympic superstar Lisa Curry. We like drama, tears and breakdowns, Lisa’s just too together, too nice, and is deserved long odds for the win, no matter how good her crocheting is.

 

Kris Smith @ $5.00

What’s I’m a Celeb without some resident eye-candy?  Unfortunately, it’s not Hot Dogs from Big Brother 2005, but male model/former rugby star/chiseled god Kris Smith! Here to increase camp heart rates, decrease the number of shirts worn and bring the combined total visible ab muscles between him and the author of this article to eight. Kris for all his buffness seems to me to fill that mid-range placing’s in the way Lankan Rupee now fills the mid-field placing’s at Flemington (sob!).

 

Tziporah Malkah @ $21.00

A gift straight from the reality TV Gods! It’s the Artist formerly known as Kate Fischer and boy does it look like she’ll make this the best season yet. Now known as Tziporah Malkah, full of one-liners, three quarters of crazy and the knowledge that if she can survive an engagement to James Packer, she can survive anything that the jungle can throw at her.

 

So, we’re off to a great start with I’m a Celeb, let’s bring on the bladder weakening challenges, because I’m finding it hard to pinpoint a clear favourite this year so just like the jungle, I’m thinking its Exotics time. Put me down for an early box Trifecta of Swanny, Casey Donovan and Tizporah for value! Go you good things!

Super Bowl Preview

New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons

10.30am (AEDT), Monday, February 6 @ NRG Stadium, Houston

Teams: Both teams have a couple of minor injury problems, with the Patriots listing Stephen Gostkowski as probable and Nate Ebner as questionable for the Super Bowl. The Falcons’ Alex Mack is probable, but DE Adrian Clayborn was ruled out after the Conference Championships.

History: The teams have met 13 times previously, with the Patriots leading 7 wins to the Falcons’ 6 – including a 30-23 away win in their last meeting back in 2013. This is their first playoffs encounter.

The Patriots have appeared in a record 8 Super Bowls, winning 4 and losing 4; most recently they edged the Seahawks in the decider two years ago. The Falcons have appeared in just one Super Bowl, back in the 1998 season when they went down 34-19 to the Broncos.

Form: The Patriots produced a league-best 14-2 record, winning their last 7 regular-season games before disposing of the Texans (34-16) and Steelers (36-17) in the playoffs. The Falcons topped the NFC South with an 11-5 record, winning their last 4 regular-season games before beating the Seahawks (36-20) and Packers (44-21) in the playoffs.

Stats: The Patriots have won 3 of their last 4 against the Falcons. Six of their last 7 games have been decided by 7+ margins. The Patriots’ last 5 wins this season were by 13 points or more, while they have conceded more than 17 points just once in their last 9 games. The Falcons leaked 26+ points 10 times during the regular season, and 20+ in both playoffs games so far, but they have scored 33+ in 9 of their last 11 games. The Patriots are 8-0 away from their home base this season. The Falcons are 6-2 away from the Georgia Dome this season.

Final Thoughts: The biggest annual sporting event in the world is upon us again, and it sees Tom Brady and the indomitable Patriots gunning for another Lombardi Trophy, with the history-chasing Falcons standing in their way. Brady and Atlanta’s Matt Ryan have been the best two quarterbacks in the NFL this season, and while Brady is considered by many as the G.O.A.T. (and wouldn’t he love to accept the trophy from NFL Commissioner Roger Goddell after the ‘Deflategate’ saga?), Ryan has had a career-best year.

There’s several other mouth-watering match-ups – Blount v Freeman, Edelman v Jones – and while both offenses are absolutely firing, it’s the Pats’ ruthless defense that shapes as the decisive factor ahead of Super Bowl LI. They also have plentiful big-match experience, while this is a new stage for Ryan and the Falcons. Wily New England coach Bill Belichick will have his side finely tuned, and the favourites should carry off their fifth Super Bowl crown with a dominant second-half performance against the plucky Falcons.

Crow's Super Bowl Tips

Market Tip
Line New England Patriots -3 @ $2.04
Super Bowl LI MVP Tom Brady @ $1.83
Under/Over Under 58.5 @ $1.92
Half-time/Full-time Patriots/Patriots @ $2.40

Quaddie Racing Tips

Sandown

Some winners stand out

LEG

RACE

RUNNERS

KEEP IN MIND

First

5

1. Renew, 2. Thunder Connection, 4. Sweet Melody

These look the play.

Second

6

1. Casinoholic, 3. Lady Effort, 4. Menegatti, 8. Parallel World

Be surprised if anything other than this quartet saluted.

Third

7

1. Bons Away, 2. Gunn Island, 3. Last request, 10. Private Lounge

Yet another even affair.

Fourth

8

1. Believing, 3. Sharing, 10. Swiss Beauty, 12. Kiss In The Rain

Looks a battle between this lot. Many chances though.

 

Wyong

Tough meeting, and weather is stinking hot

LEG

RACE

RUNNERS

KEEP IN MIND

First

5

3. Hirokin, 4. Princess Vein, 6. Santorini Miss

Only 3 REAL chances here.

Second

6

1. Gadfly, 2. Oxford Magic, 5. Classic Records, 7. Pygmy

This quartet should fight it out.

Third

7

1. Treviso, 2. Fifteen Sunflowers, 3. Run Sally Run, 6. Grammar School

These are the best hopes in a fascinating race.  

Fourth

8

2. Fleeteor, 3. Niccobelle, 7. Right As Rain

Not such a tough one to end on.

Wednesday Racing Preview – Wyong

The main racing on Wednesday in NSW will be held at the  Wyong track. Seven races, plenty of action, with solid fields to wager upon. Strange weather coming up though. May sprinkle.

Rail Position: is out 2m from 1350 to home turn, true remainder
Track Condition: rates a good 4

 

Race 1- Sunnylake BM 60 2100m

Date: 1/2
Time: 1:20pm
Location: Wyong

SECRET WEB is honest once he finds form and last start 4th says he’s ready. ONE TOUCH  hasn’t won for a long while but seems a professional placegetter. Will loom large at some sage. RED VIKING also ran 4th last start, he  was up on pace all way. Must be a threat this track.

The Early Crows Top TipONE TOUCH

 

Race 2-  3YO Mdn Hcp 1000m

Date: 1/2
Time: 1:55pm
Location: Wyong

KINGSTON is ready to win. Will jump from wide gate, cross and lead and will prove hard to catch.  CRYSTAL CHOICE has brilliantly won 3 trials to date. Will be the main player on debut here.  That’s winning form for this. TERMINALLY PRETTY is from strong camp and is resuming here. Should get home late.

The Early Crows Top TipCRYSTAL CHOICE

 

Race 3- New Ford Mdn 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 2:35pm
Location: Wyong

DOT PAINTING must be considered simply because everything from the stable is racing so well. Place. SLEEK has placed this grade twice in recent starts, bit times being heavily tried. Will show up while PEACEFUL SEA seems to have a lot of talent but is just not putting it all together. Can sprout wings late.

The Early Crows Top TipPEACEFUL SEA

 

Race 4- E-bikes Mdn Plate 1600m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:15pm
Location: Wyong

BIANCA LAD has drawn awkwardly here but is racing in good form without winning of late. Experience will help run a place. MIREBEAU will drive hard from this alley and try and lead all way. SAHARA EAGLE looked outstanding leading and being run down by a subsequent city winner on debut. Very tough to beat.

The Early Crows Top TipSAHARA EAGLE

 

Race 5- Bendgo Bank BM 63 Hcp 1600m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:45pm
Location: Wyong

MY MILLY MOO finished powerfully from just off pace to win maiden here last start. Stronger grade but has talent. PRINCESS VEIN won 3 on the bounce then tasted much tougher grade last start and after leading weakened last little bit. Can atone while SANTORINI MISS was strong in same race grade last start when 5th. Can sneak a place.

The Early Crows Top TipPRINCESS VEIN  

 

Race 6- Transition Class 1 Hcp 1350m

Date: 1/2
Time: 4:20pm
Location: Wyong

GADFLY is going to appreciate the drop in grade here. Racing in good form and this doesn’t look hard. Will be in the finish. OXFORD MAGIC needed the hit-out last start when winning weaker race. Is trained here which is big help. PYGMY took an eternity to win a race then spelled. Worth another look at here.

The Early Crows Top TipGADFLY

 

Race 7- Cannonball BM 65 Hcp 1000m

Date: 1/2
Time: 4:55pm
Location: Wyong

FIFTEEN SUNFLOWERS is the class here but is resuming. If she is on song she can flash home late. RUN SALLY RUN is game and certainly, after what she showed in winning last start, is up to this grade. GRAMMAR SCHOOL is ready to rumble from this draw. Stable is in form and this is winnable affair.

The Early Crows Top TipFIFTEEN SUNFLOWERS

 

Race 8 – NBN News Class 1 Hcp 1100m

Date: 1/2
Time: 5:35pm
Location: Wyong

FLEETEOR is resuming and has big weight but showed last campaign that this is in the zone. RIGHT AS RAIN ticks a lot of boxes. Is 3rd up, drawn great, top rider, strong stable. Is ready. CARIBOU is improving every start and although this is tough, can place.

The Early Crows Top TipRIGHT AS RAIN

Wednesday Racing Preview – Sandown

The main racing on Wednesday in Victoria will be held at the Sandown (Lakeside) race track. Track’s in great order and worth punting on.

Rail Position: is true entire course
Track Condition: rates a good 3

 

Race 1- Schweppes Mdn Plate 1400m

Date: 1/2
Time: 1:30pm
Location: Sandown

GREAT BAY was ordinary in stronger field 2nd up last start. Expected improvement. FAST PLAN ran good race for 3rd this grade last start. Weight relief big help too. THAT RINGS A BELL looks the winner. Was great on debut in similar company when impressive 2nd. Is expected to go one better here.

The Early Crows Top TipTHAT RINGS A BELL

 

Race 2- 2YO Plate 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 2:00pm
Location: Sandown

KEDLESTON drawn poorly but is racing his way towards a win. Great placing in better grade last start coming from well back. Trip suits. ESHTIRAAK led and bolted in last start looking genuinely smart. Big show. REDCORE useful on debut and is expected to be much more competitive first up here.

The Early Crows Top TipKEDLESTON

 

Race 3- BM 64 1400m

Date: 1/2
Time: 2:30pm
Location: Sandown

DEVILISHLY has been up a very long while but is racing well enough without winning. Place show again. DEAL WITH IT seems ready to fire after two solid runs this time up in this grade. Perfectly drawn and weight relief a big help too. NEW ELEGANCE can lead all the way. Is ready to rumble.

The Early Crows Top TipNEW ELEGANCE

 

Race 4- Moorookyle BM 70 1400m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:00pm
Location: Sandown

CHAMOIS ROAD made ground late last start when solid 3rd at Benalla. This is no easier. Is fit and ready. CASTELO has been up a good while but is holding form very well. Did win similar contest last start. Bad draw though. DUSTY JACK went to Cranbourne last start for an easy kill in Class 1 grade. This harder but is on the rise.

The Early Crows Top TipDUSTY JACK

 

Race 5- Crown Lager BM 70 Hcp 2400m

Date: 1/2
Time: 3:30pm
Location: Sandown

THUNDER CONNECTION looked promising in taking out easier race two runs back. Harder here but drawn well and gets weight relief. RENEW has taken time to find form this campaign but looked better past couple of races. Big show. SWEET MELODY ran home powerfully from the back this grade against a real smart one last start. Easier race this time.

The Early Crows Top TipSWEET MELODY

 

Race 6- BM 64 1600m

Date: 1/2
Time: 4:00pm
Location: Sandown

CASINOHOLIC was up a long time and finally broke through slightly weaker grade two runs back.  Chance from this draw. MENEGATTI keeps jumping the bar each campaign and won like a city grade horse last start. Respect. PARALLEL WORLD turned it on last start in winning much weaker grade. Deserves chance here.

The Early Crows Top TipCASINOHOLIC

 

Race 7- Le Pine BM 64 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 4:30pm
Location: Sandown

BONS AWAY winner at only start but did look pretty smart that day. Suited here on many levels including good draw. LAST REQUEST is similar storyline to the top weight. Weight relief really helps him too. PRIVATE LOUNGE went well in big step up in grade last start when 3rd. Is up to this.

The Early Crows Top TipLAST REQUEST

 

Race 8- Catanach’s BM 64 1200m

Date: 1/2
Time: 5:00pm
Location: Sandown

BELIEVING is racing in superb touch this time up. Always positions himself well and looks hard to beat. SHARING is very close to another win – terrific first up effort when 2nd this grade and looks a great each way show again. SWISS BEAUTY stepped out for just 2nd start last start and won handsomely. This harder but is obviously in great form. Can place.

The Early Crows Top TipBELIEVING

Wednesday NBA Tips

Portland Trail Blazers v Charlotte Hornets

2.00pm (AEDT), Wednesday, February 1 @ Portland

Likely Line-ups:

  • Trail Blazers – Evan Turner, Noah Vonleh, Mason Plumlee, CJ McCollum, Damian Lillard
  • Hornets – Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Marvin Williams, Roy Hibbert, Nicolas Batum, Kemba Walker

History: Portland have won 37 regular-season games to Charlotte’s 16. The teams both chalked up a home win in their two clashes last season, while the Hornets prevailed 107-85 at home two weeks ago.

Form: The Trail Blazers are ninth in the Western Conference with a 21-28 record; their 3-game winning streak over the Celtics, Lakers and Grizzlies ended with a 2-point loss to the Warriors in their most recent outing. The Hornets are eighth in the East with a 23-25 record, but have lost 9 of their last 12 – including 4 straight to the Wizards, Warriors, Knicks and Kings.

Stats: The Trail Blazers have won 7 of their last 10 against the Hornets, but the Hornets have won 3 of the last 4 as the home team. Six of these teams’ last eight meetings were decided by 12+ points. The Blazers are 13-10 at home this season and have won 5 of their last 8 at the Moda Center. The Hornets are 8-15 on the road and are currently on a 7-game away losing streak.

Final Thoughts: Two teams who were quick out of the blocks this season before slumping square off, but it’s the Hornets that come into this clash with a worrying form-line. Kemba Walker continues to produce for Charlotte, however, and his and Nicolas Batum’s back-court battle with CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard will be vital. The Blazers are stronger offensively than the defensively-minded Hornets, but they struggled when the teams met recently, with their 8-for-31 shooting from three-point range a crucial factor. Portland need to provide more support for sharpshooters McCollum and Lillard. The Hornets’ awful run on the road is impossible to overlook, though, and that tilts the scales in favour of the Hornets in this one.                                             

Crow’s Tip: Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 @ $1.89

 

TOP 3 TIPS

Match

Crow’s Tip

LA Lakers v Denver Nuggets

Over 226.5 @ $1.98

San Antonio Spurs v OKC Thunder

OKC Thunder +9.5 @ $1.92

Houston Rockets v Sacramento Kings

Houston Rockets -11.5 @ $1.91